Derby Predictions 2015

2021年4月14日
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© Chris Rahayel/AP Jockey Manny Franco reacts after crossing the finish line with Tiz the Law to win the Travers Stakes horse race at Saratoga.
*Derby Predictions 2015 Winner
*Derby Predictions 2015 Live
The Kentucky Derby is the second leg of the Triple Crown this year, after the Belmont Stakes was held in June, as horse racing’s biggest events were shuffled by the novel coronavirus pandemic. That schedule change, among others, allowed the morning-line favorite, Tiz the Law, to earn 372 points on the Derby trail, eclipsing the previous high of 170 set by International Star in 2015.
Match Predictions, H2H, Betting Tips & Preview. The match preview to the football match DERBY vs MIDDLESBROUGH in the Championship of England compares both teams and includes the latest matches of the teams, the match facts, head to head (h2h), goal statistics, table standings, match strengths and at least a computer calculated match prediction. The general general predictions from famous horse racing experts and handicappers are listed below. The overwhelming favorite for the 2015 Kentucky Derby is American Pharoah. Listed at 3.5 to 1 odds (at 5Dimes Sportsbook), Pharoah is ridden by famous jockey, Victor Espinoza, who also jockeyed last year’s winner of California Chrome.
Mike Battaglia, who has set the morning line for the Kentucky Derby since 1975, gave Tiz the Law 3-5 odds, making him the heaviest morning-line favorite in the Run for the Roses since Easy Goer and Awe Inspiring in 1989.
Tiz the Law, a son of Constitution (by Tapit), broke his maiden last summer at Saratoga and has fired off five wins, all graded stakes races, in six attempts since. Victories include the Grade I Champagne Stakes, Grade III Holy Bull Stakes, Grade I Florida Derby, Grade I Belmont Stakes and Grade I Travers Stakes. The lone blemish on his résumé is a third-place finish in the Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill Downs in November.
“He never seems to do anything wrong,” trainer Barclay Tagg said. “He is not overly nervous, not excitable, doesn’t beat himself. He loves to run, loves competition. He sees a horse, he just goes for it. He is a quality horse.”
Tagg trained 2003 Kentucky Derby winner Funny Cide, who became the first New York-bred horse in history to win the Kentucky Derby. Tiz the Law will try to become the second.
Post time: Saturday, 7:01 p.m., NBC
Here’s a look at Tiz the Law’s chances, plus analysis on the 17 other horses who hope to beat him to the winner’s circle:
No. 1 Finnick the Fierce (50-1)
Trainer: Rey Hernandez
Jockey: Martin Garcia
Hernandez will make his Derby debut with a one-eyed colt out of Dialed In who was beaten by 14½ combined lengths over his past two graded stakes races.
No. 2 Max Player (30-1)
Trainer: Steve Asmussen
Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr.
Max Player transferred into Asmussen’s barn following solid efforts in the Belmont (third with a 100 Brisnet speed figure) and Travers (third, 107) for former trainer Linda Rice.
No. 3 Enforceable (30-1)
Trainer: Mark Casse
Jockey: Adam Beschizza
Enforceable made up a lot of ground to finish fourth in the Blue Grass but was still 8½ lengths behind the winner, former Derby hopeful Art Collector. This son of Tapit will need a perfect trip and a pace meltdown to win this leg of the Triple Crown.
No. 4 Storm the Court (50-1)
Trainer: Peter Eurton
Jockey: Julien Leparoux
Last year’s juvenile champ is winless this year and enters the race with a second-place finish in the Grade III La Jolla Handicap at Del Mar in his first start on grass. Since 2013, winners of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile are 1 for 6 in the Kentucky Derby.
No. 5 Major Fed (50-1)
Trainer: Greg Foley
Jockey: James Graham
Major Fed is winless in four graded stakes events since breaking his maiden at the Fair Grounds in January, showing he might be short on class and making it difficult to like him in this race.
No. 6 King Guillermo (20-1)
Trainer: Juan Carlos Avila
Jockey: Samy Camacho
King Guillermo hasn’t raced since May 2, when he was second behind Nadal in the Arkansas Derby (second division) at Oaklawn Park. He won the Tampa Bay Derby at 49-1 in March. Camacho handled both of those rides.
No. 7 Money Moves (30-1)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
The son of Candy Ride didn’t enter a single race on the Road to the Kentucky Derby and has yet to face any stakes competition.
No. 8 South Bend (50-1)
Trainer: William I. Mott
Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
A late entry, South Bend hasn’t won since taking the Street Sense Stakes at Churchill Downs in 2019. He’s 0 for 8 as a 3-year-old, with his most recent race a fourth-place finish in the Travers.
No. 9 Mr. Big News (50-1)
Trainer: Bret Calhoun
Jockey: Gabriel Sáez
The Oaklawn Stakes winner was supposed to make his turf debut at Churchill Downs on Saturday, but early rain and the threat of soft turf prompted owner Chester Thomas to make a run for the roses instead. To be successful, he will have to do better in graded stakes company. Mr. Big News finished fifth in the Grade II Risen Star Stakes and sixth in the Grade II Blue Grass.
No. 10 Thousand Words (15-1)
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: Florent Geroux
This entry took a step backward this spring (fourth-place finish in the San Felipe Stakes and 11th by 29 lengths in the Oaklawn Stakes) but looked great beating Honor A. P. in the Shared Belief Stakes. The Brisnet speed figure earned in his previous race (104) is among the best in the field.
No. 11 Necker Island (50-1)
Trainer: Chris Hartmann
Jockey: Miguel Mena
Necker Island’s most recent win came in optional allowance company in November, and this son of Hard Spun was recently put up for claim in June. Pass.
No. 12 Sole Volante (30-1)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
Jockey: Luca Panici
This gelding built a lot of hope in the winter and spring (4-1-1 in six races) only to fall flat in the Belmont Stakes, finishing sixth and 15 lengths behind the winner.
No. 13 Attachment Rate (50-1)
Trainer: Dale Romans
Jockey: Joe Talamo
His best race was a second-place finish in the Ellis Park Derby at Ellis Park but he is 0 for 5 in stakes races this year.
No. 14 Winning Impression (50-1)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
Jockey: Joe Rocco Jr.Derby Predictions 2015 Winner
Winning Impression earned enough points to get in the big race but has beaten just 12 of 27 horses over his past three stakes races. He needs a step down in class, not a step up.
No. 15 Ny Traffic (20-1)
Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.
Jockey: Paco Lopez
Joseph’s gray colt has run five solid races in as many starts since coming under his purview in January, but you have to wonder whether three straight second-place finishes is the best he can do.
No. 16 Honor A. P. (5-1)
Trainer: John Shirreffs
Jockey: Mike Smith
This son of Honor Code followed up his Santa Anita Derby victory with a loss to Thousand Words by three-quarters of a length at Del Mar, despite being favored in the Shared Belief Stakes. Smith, who was aboard Derby winners Giacomo in 2005 and Triple Crown winner Justify in 2018, excused the lackluster effort and felt the distance of 1 1/6 miles was “too short for him.”
No. 17 Tiz the Law (3-5)
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
Jockey: Manny Franco
The five-time graded stakes winner was impressive in both the Travers and Belmont Stakes, justifying his spot as one of the heaviest Kentucky Derby favorites of the past 30 years.
No. 18 Authentic (8-1)
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: John Velazquez
Baffert’s front-running brown colt held on to win the Haskell by a nose and may be the pace setter in the Kentucky Derby. If that’s the case, look for him to be in good hands with Velazquez aboard. Authentic’s jockey won the Kentucky Derby with Animal Kingdom in 2011 and Always Dreaming in 2017.
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*BARNSLEY vs DERBY » Match Predictions, H2H, Betting Tips & Preview
The match preview to the football match BARNSLEY vs DERBY in the Championship of England compares both teams and includes the latest matches of the teams, the match facts, head to head (h2h), goal statistics, table standings, match strengths and at least a computer calculated match prediction. These facts should all be considered to place a successful bet on this match. By clicking on the team names you can examine the teams on their actual form in particular.
England: Championship
2021-03-10 20:00BARNSLEY - DERBYOur betting tip for this match:Betting tip: BARNSLEY vs DERBYVirtualbet24.comBARNSLEY is odds-on favourite for this match. DERBY goes as a clear outsider into the game and there aren´t many doubts about who will win this at the end of the match. So we don´t cover this bet with a possible draw to get the whole odd for a home win.We recommend to bet on:
Win for BARNSLEY @1.91 (Betway: Mar 9, 2021 08:40)Bet now on this match at Betway:Advertisement
Winning probability: 58%Last matches of BARNSLEY:2021-03-06BARNSLEY - BIRMINGHAM1-02021-03-03QPR - BARNSLEY1-32021-02-27BARNSLEY - MILLWALL2-12021-02-24BARNSLEY - STOKE CITY2-02021-02-20BRISTOL CITY - BARNSLEY0-12021-02-17BARNSLEY - BLACKBURN2-1Last matches of DERBY:2021-03-06COVENTRY - DERBY1-02021-03-02CARDIFF - DERBY4-02021-02-26DERBY - NOTTINGHAM FOREST1-12021-02-23DERBY - HUDDERSFIELD2-02021-02-19WATFORD - DERBY2-12021-02-16WYCOMBE WANDERERS - DERBY1-2Team comparison:
Match Facts: BARNSLEY
*BARNSLEY has won the last 7 matches.
*BARNSLEY is unbeaten for 9 matches.
*BARNSLEY has won the last 4 home matches.
*BARNSLEY is unbeaten for 5 home matches.
*BARNSLEY has scored at least one goal in the last 7 matches.
*BARNSLEY has scored at least one goal in the last 5 home matches.
Match Facts: DERBY
*DERBY has lost the last 2 matches.
*DERBY has lost the last 3 away matches.
*DERBY was not able to win one out of the last 3 away matches.
*DERBY was not able to score at least one goal in the last 2 matches.
*DERBY was not able to score at least one goal in the last 2 away matches.Head-to-Head (H2H):2020-11-07DERBY - BARNSLEY0-22020-01-02DERBY - BARNSLEY2-12019-10-02BARNSLEY - DERBY2-22018-05-06DERBY - BARNSLEY4-12017-12-09BARNSLEY - DERBY0-32017-03-04DERBY - BARNSLEY2-12016-08-13BARNSLEY - DERBY2-02014-04-21DERBY - BARNSLEY2-12013-12-29BARNSLEY - DERBY1-22013-04-16BARNSLEY - DERBY1-1Goal statistics:
Goal statistics: BARNSLEY1.52.53.5Over25175Under91729
Goal statistics: DERBY1.52.53.5Over1993Under152531Championship Table:ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIPRkTeamMPWDLGoGdPt1NORWICH35237551:2526762WATFORD35199746:2422663SWANSEA33198643:2419654BRENTFORD34189761:3625635READING351861149:3712606BARNSLEY341761142:375577BOURNEMOUTH351511950:3416568CARDIFF CITY351591153:3518549MIDDLESBROUGH351481341:3835010STOKE CITY3512121141:3924811MILLWALL351016934:3314612BRISTOL CITY351431836:48-124513LUTON341281428:40-124414PRESTON NE351351739:45-64415BLACKBURN341271548:3994316QPR3311101234:39-54317NOTTINGHAM FOREST3510101528:34-64018HUDDERSFIELD351081739:51-123819COVENTRY359111532:46-143820DERBY COUNTY341081625:38-133821BIRMINGHAM358111626:43-173522ROTHERHAM32951835:43-83223SHEFFIELD WED34971824:43-192824WYCOMBE34582123:57-3423
* SHEFFIELD WED -6Match strengths:Match:Total:Home:Away:Form:H2H:BARNSLEY6.55.66.510.03.5DERBY3.93.73.53.95.4Our betting prediction for this match:
X
58%
24%
18%Derby Predictions 2015 LiveMore matches in the Championship:Servertime: 2021-03-09 · 19:42:42Our pick of today:
03-09 20:45 England:Conference National
Wealdstone FC and Kings Lynn are going nearly equal strong into this match. The result at the end of the game seems to be completely open. We see a small advantage for the home team but we cover the bet with a draw to keep the risk as low as possible.We recommend to bet on:Wealdstone FC or Draw @1.75
Winning probability: 76%Our pick rating: ★★★★★ 5/5To the full betting analysis ➟
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